ABC vs Potiguar EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ABC
1 - 0
SGO
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FLA
4 - 0
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 2
SGO
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
COR
2 - 0
PEC
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
1 - 2
PEC
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
PEC
1 - 2
MEC
78%
14%
7%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |