ABC vs Potiguar EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ARN
2 - 2
ABC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ABC
2 - 2
SGO
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ABC
3 - 1
ACD
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ABC
4 - 0
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PEC
1 - 1
ACD
88%
9%
3%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PEC
2 - 1
ALE
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SGO
1 - 1
PEC
9%
16%
75%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PEC
2 - 4
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
PEC
1 - 2
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -3 |