ABC vs Potiguar EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PEC
0 - 1
ABC
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PEC
1 - 3
ABC
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
ACD
0 - 3
ABC
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ABC
2 - 0
ARN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SGO
0 - 2
ABC
11%
18%
72%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PEC
0 - 1
ABC
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PEC
1 - 3
ABC
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ACD
2 - 0
PEC
12%
18%
71%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ALE
0 - 1
PEC
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PEC
2 - 2
SGO
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |