ABC vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
4 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 2
PPE
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
PPE
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |