ABC vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
ABC
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
CEA
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 1
ABC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAR
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
POR
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |