ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 2
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CRB
0 - 1
ABC
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAY
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
AMF
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
CEA
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |