ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
OES
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 0
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
ABC
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 3
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
AVA
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
POR
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
ARN
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |