ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
ABC
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
ABC
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 0
GOI
27%
26%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
ABC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
19%
25%
57%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
GOI
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |