ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
ABC
5 - 0
SER
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
ABC
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 2
COR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRB
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 3
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 0
IFC
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |