Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-2
ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
NAU
2 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2000 |
ABC
3 - 3
PAL
19%
23%
59%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2000 |
ABC
1 - 1
GOI
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
NAU
2 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
GOI
1 - 1
NAU
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
NAU
1 - 1
GOI
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NAU
2 - 1
CSA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |