ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
CEA
6 - 1
ABC
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
REC
2 - 1
ABC
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
ABC
1 - 0
CRB
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ABC
1 - 1
REM
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 1
ABC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2001 |
NAU
4 - 0
REM
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
NAU
4 - 0
TUN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
NAU
3 - 0
ANA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
REC
2 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |