ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
3 - 1
ABC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
ABC
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
ABC
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
ABC
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
ABC
2 - 2
PAL
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +4 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 3
NAU
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NAU
3 - 0
FLA
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAO
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |