ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAN
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 2
CRZ
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLU
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ABC
2 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
NAU
2 - 2
REM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1972 |
NAU
0 - 1
SCI
33%
24%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
NAU
0 - 6
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
GRE
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |