ABC vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
3 - 3
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 2
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CRB
0 - 1
ABC
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CRB
3 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 5
BRA
53%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 3
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 0
BAH
26%
29%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |