ABC vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 2
ABC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ABC
0 - 1
COR
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AVA
0 - 0
ABC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 2
POT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 1
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
CRI
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CEA
2 - 1
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SCI
8 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |