ABC vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 0
CAX
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
ABC
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 2
RFC
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JAC
3 - 2
ALT
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
JAC
66%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 0
VOL
17%
25%
58%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 1
MAN
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |