ABC vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 6
ABC
9%
19%
72%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 3
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 0
ABC
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
COR
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEN
36%
27%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 0
JAC
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
3 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |