ABC vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 2
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 2
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
ABC
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
OES
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
SAO
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ICA
3 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAY
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |