Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-3
ABC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
51%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
9%
19%
72%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ABC
2 - 0
POT
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 2
ABC
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
ABC
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 1
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAX
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
GRE
16%
28%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
FER
87%
9%
3%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |