ABC vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.3%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 1
IGU
80%
15%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 0
SOU
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
85%
12%
3%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
7%
16%
77%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 2
VIL
26%
29%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FEL
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
3 - 1
SPC
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
GLO
2 - 6
FEL
45%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
ACD
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 1
ABC
6%
15%
79%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |