ABC vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
67%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
ABC
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 0
ITA
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
FEL
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 0
ASS
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GLO
6 - 1
FEL
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
FEL
5 - 1
POT
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
FEL
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |