ABC vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
POT
3 - 2
ABC
11%
18%
71%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
43%
24%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
ABC
13%
20%
67%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 3
ABC
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
PAL
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
ARN
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GLO
3 - 0
FEL
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
POT
3 - 0
FEL
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |