ABC vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
ABC
0 - 1
VOL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 0
ABC
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
FLA
0 - 0
NAU
34%
29%
38%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
1 - 2
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
1 - 2
SPO
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |