ABC vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
PAY
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
ABC
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 2
SCI
21%
29%
50%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
BOA
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
FFL
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FFL
3 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GOI
0 - 1
FFL
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |