Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 5-1
ABC vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
ABC
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 2
ABC
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
1 - 1
ABC
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
RSI
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 16 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
2 - 0
SUL
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
1 - 2
PEN
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
FAS
1 - 1
ABC
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAS
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 0
FAS
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |