ABC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 2
AVA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 2
ITA
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 0
PPE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 1
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |