ABC vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
IMP
3 - 4
ABC
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
VIT
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 0
ABC
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ABC
8 - 0
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
58%
22%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
AFP
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSA
10%
19%
71%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 2
BAH
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |