Série D Brazil Final round Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
ABC vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
ABC
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 2
RFC
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 1
ABC
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 0
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
URO
0 - 2
CAX
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
URO
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CAX
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 0
POR
31%
29%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |