ABC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALT
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 0
ABC
17%
26%
58%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 0
ABC
14%
20%
66%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOT
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
FER
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |