ABC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
SER
2 - 1
ABC
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CSA
2 - 1
ABC
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
SPO
3 - 0
ABC
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 0
ABC
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
BOT
0 - 0
CEA
42%
26%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
SER
0 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
BOT
0 - 0
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
PAY
0 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |