ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POT
2 - 1
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
ABC
25%
23%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
16%
23%
60%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 2
GLO
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
4 - 2
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
GLO
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |