ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 3
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 3
POT
81%
13%
7%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
5 - 0
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
POT
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |