ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
COR
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 0
PAL
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
ABC
12%
19%
70%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POT
1 - 1
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |