ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 2
ATP
18%
22%
59%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ACD
3 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ARN
2 - 2
ABC
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ABC
3 - 1
ASS
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABC
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACD
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABC
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 3
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |