ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 0
SGO
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
POT
1 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ABC
2 - 0
PEC
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
ABC
4 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 0
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |