ABC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 0
ABC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
AVA
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
CRB
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
AVA
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
IFC
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 2
ARN
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |