ABC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 1
ABC
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
CRB
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 2
ABC
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ABC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 3
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 1
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 3
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
AVA
1 - 1
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 1
BRA
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 1
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |