ABC vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 0
ABC
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 1
ABC
21%
22%
58%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 3
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
3 - 0
ITU
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 1
AUD
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
COR
18%
25%
58%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
AUD
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
AUD
31%
24%
45%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |