ABC vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 3
ABC
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
CCP
78%
15%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ABC
4 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COR
3 - 7
ABC
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 2
ALE
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACD
2 - 1
ASS
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 0
COR
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
ASS
42%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |