ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
ABC
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
4 - 0
ABC
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 3
ALE
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |