ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
POT
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
ABC
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 0
PAL
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
ABC
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
COR
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
POT
1 - 2
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |