ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
ABC
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
83%
12%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
13%
19%
67%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
AMF
0 - 0
ABC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 2
ALE
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 1
ALE
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |