ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TDC
0 - 5
ABC
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ABC
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
3 - 1
CEC
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 0
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
ALE
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |