ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
ABC
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
COR
1 - 2
ABC
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
ABC
3 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 2
ABC
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ALE
2 - 2
SGO
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
ACD
2 - 1
ALE
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALE
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
ALE
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARN
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |