ABC vs Portuguesa analysis

ABC Portuguesa
63 ELO 72
2.2% Tilt -10.6%
1572º General ELO ranking 2138º
56º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
32.4%
ABC
27.8%
Draw
39.8%
Portuguesa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
ABC
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.8%
Win probability
Portuguesa
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ABC
-4%
+16%
Portuguesa

ELO progression

ABC
Portuguesa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ABC
ABC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2014
ABC
ABC
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
20%
26%
54%
63 81 18 0
02 Aug. 2014
AMF
América Mineiro
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
60%
23%
17%
63 69 6 0
31 Jul. 2014
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
2 - 0
ABC
ABC
34%
27%
39%
65 60 5 -2
27 Jul. 2014
PAR
Paraná
1 - 0
ABC
ABC
49%
27%
25%
65 67 2 0
24 Jul. 2014
ABC
ABC
1 - 0
Novo Hamburgo
NOV
59%
23%
19%
65 60 5 0

Matches

Portuguesa
Portuguesa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2014
LUV
Luverdense
3 - 1
Portuguesa
POR
30%
28%
42%
73 63 10 0
30 Jul. 2014
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 0
Oeste
OES
71%
18%
11%
74 58 16 -1
23 Jul. 2014
ICA
Icasa
2 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
24%
28%
49%
74 59 15 0
19 Jul. 2014
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 1
Paraná
PAR
64%
22%
15%
74 66 8 0
16 Jul. 2014
PPE
Ponte Preta
0 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
44%
28%
28%
74 74 0 0