ABC vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 2
VAS
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
ABC
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
OES
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
POR
24%
28%
49%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
PPE
0 - 0
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |