AB II vs IF II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
KIK
1 - 4
ABA
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 2
ABA
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ABA
8 - 0
SKA
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ROY
1 - 2
ABA
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 8
IFF
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
IFF
2 - 2
SUD
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UND
3 - 2
IFF
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GIH
8 - 2
IFF
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
IFF
1 - 4
TOR
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 8
IFF
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |