AB II vs IF II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 3
ABA
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 5
UND
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 3
ROY
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 0
HOY
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TOF
6 - 0
ABA
61%
19%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
IFF
3 - 1
ROY
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
HOY
2 - 6
IFF
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
IFF
0 - 5
TOF
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IFF
0 - 4
TOR
25%
23%
53%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TBT
2 - 1
IFF
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |