AB II vs HB II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
ABA
59%
20%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
UND
0 - 4
ABA
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ABA
2 - 0
GIH
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NSI
2 - 1
ABA
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ABA
7 - 0
TOF
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
HB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HBT
3 - 4
TVO
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HBT
1 - 0
KIK
68%
17%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
HBT
24%
22%
53%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HBT
7 - 2
TBT
66%
18%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TOF
3 - 1
HBT
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |