AB II vs B68 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AB II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
4 - 1
ABA
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
4 - 2
TBT
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KIK
6 - 2
ABA
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 1
IFF
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 3
ABA
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
B68 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TOF
2 - 1
ROY
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HOY
0 - 9
TOF
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UND
4 - 5
TOF
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TOF
1 - 0
TOR
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TBT
2 - 3
TOF
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |