Rafalafena vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIN
0 - 0
RAF
24%
21%
56%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
BEN
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
RAF
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 0
PED
81%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
5 - 2
POB
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ORP
4 - 0
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
ORP
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ORP
0 - 2
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OND
2 - 2
ORP
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 2
ORP
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |